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Author Topic: WEEK 5 - MAP29 ZDECTF2-19 [MAR 6 - MAR 12] Discussion  (Read 1177 times)

Zakken

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WEEK 5 - MAP29 ZDECTF2-19 [MAR 6 - MAR 12] Discussion
« on: March 05, 2017, 05:44:45 PM »
Week 5 - MAP29: Toxic Refineries (ZDECTF2-19)
March 6th - March 12th


Sexual Panthers [SXP]
HumanBones, Dragon, Tony, Evolution
4 pts (1-3-0)
vs
[HYP] Hurt You Plenty
DevastatioN, Heks, Starrk, dew
4 pts (1-3-0)

Regulators [REG]
Jwarrier, RoSKing, HTG, Goblin
5 pts (1-3-0)
vs
[SUC] Super Chargers
Ralphis, Dranzer, Hopes, Halloween
12 pts (3-1-0) (#4⇧)

High Friction Men [HFM]
KBlair, Wazzup, Godlike, Souler
2 pts (0-4-0)
vs
[TKV] Techno Vikings
Caution, GhOsTKiLLeR, Xenaero, Avc
16 pts (4-0-0) (#1)

Giant Pea Shooters [GPS]
Alt_Stab, Zakken, Rude, Dastan
10 pts (3-1-0) (#4⇧)
vs
[TDT] The Dream Team
DemonSphere, turSKA, Denzoa, D'Sparil
11 pts (3-1-0) (#4⇧)
« Last Edit: March 05, 2017, 06:38:10 PM by Zakken »

Ten

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Re: WEEK 5 - MAP29 ZDECTF2-19 [MAR 6 - MAR 12] Discussion
« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2017, 01:52:04 PM »
It's quite ironic that the two teams who have already solidified their playoff positions will be playing each other in the final week of the regular season, while the rest of the league tears each other apart for playoff positioning. We have the invincible TKV who has yet to lose a single round, much less an entire game, facing HFM who has only won 2 out of 10 rounds in a winless season so far. There's not much to be said here, TKV will almost assuredly sweep HFM in two quick rounds to complete a perfect regular season.

TKV 2-0

In terms of playoff positioning, all eyes will be on SXP vs HYP as the winner of their game clinches a playoff seed. If HYP loses at all, they're eliminated from playoffs. If SXP loses in 2, they're eliminated. However, if SXP loses in 3 they can still fumble their way into playoffs if SUC defeats REG 2-0, just like the Detroit Lions did after losing to the Packers in Week 16 at their own stadium for the divisional title yet still rag-dolling their way into 6th seed thanks to the Giants beating the Redskins that same week. That being said, though, I think SXP will be earning their way into the playoffs by winning here this week. Dragon is an extremely good O on this map and plays it often over in Zandronum priv, which will give them the edge over HYP's fragging game. HYP is a team of incredibly talented players, but I just don't see them possessing the chemistry and organization needed to win on a map that requires a great deal of tactical defense and support such as this one.

SXP 2-0

While both teams have clinched at least 4th seed, GPS and TDT are only one point away from each other meaning their game also has major playoff implications. GPS is red-hot right now following an initially-questionable trade with SXP in Week 3, the trade seemed to pay off after taking down SUC in a brilliant 3-round comeback that same week, then making short work of the team they traded with in Week 4 sweeping SXP in two rounds. However, TDT is still arguably the second-best team in the league, despite still recovering from a crushing 2-0 loss to the seemingly-untouchable TKV in Week 3. And on this classic map, I think DS will prove to be nearly impossible to get past for GPS' offense. Zakken is a very strong D as well, but TDT's has much more offensive power than GPS does, and that will be the determining factor in winning this game.

TDT 2-0-1

For the likely game of the week, we have a team who's fighting for a first-round playoff bye, and a team who's fighting to make playoffs at all. If SUC defeats REG 2-0 here, they clinch 2nd seed and earn a free week off next week. If REG wins or ties even just a single round here, they clinch playoffs. However, if they lose in 2 rounds, they need to pray that the SXP/HYP game either ends in 2, or with SXP winning in 3. This match should be the GOTW because both teams have very solid rosters for this map, but I feel that REG has the slight upper-hand here, despite being 7 points behind SUC. RosKing is an absolute monster on this map, Jwar is an extremely effective defender here, and GobliN has *plenty* of experience on this map thanks to his LF days (;]). SUC is no slouch either though, Ralph is right up at the top of the offensive charts with Avc, and Dranzer is also extremely good on this map. The biggest factor will come down to how well Hopes/Dosu ends up supporting on this map. It will be a very good fight, and I'm expecting one of the best games of the season so far, and in the end I think REG is going to earn a much-deserved victory to cap off their regular season.

REG 2-1
« Last Edit: March 06, 2017, 02:58:24 PM by Ten »

Zakken

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Re: WEEK 5 - MAP29 ZDECTF2-19 [MAR 6 - MAR 12] Discussion
« Reply #2 on: March 06, 2017, 02:56:57 PM »
Playoff picture

[TKV] Techno Vikings:
TKV has a guaranteed #1 seed in the playoffs. Their match versus HFM will influence the league placings for REG, SXP, HYP and HFM.


[SUC] Super Chargers:
SUC has a guaranteed #4-and-above seed in the playoffs.

#2 seed requirements:
  • A 2-round win against REG.
  • A 3-round win against REG if TDT does not defeat GPS in 2 rounds.
  • A tie against REG if GPS ties against TDT or defeats them in 3 rounds.
  • A 3-round loss against REG if:
    - TDT ties against GPS;
    - HYP defeats SXP in 2 rounds and;
    - SUC has a superior Flags For/Flags Against ratio than TDT.

#3 seed requirements:
  • A 3-round win against REG if TDT defeats GPS in 2 rounds.
  • A tie against REG if TDT wins against GPS or GPS defeats TDT in 2 rounds.
  • A 3-round loss against REG if either:
    - TDT does not tie against GPS;
    - HYP does not defeat SXP in 2 rounds or;
    - TDT has a superior Flags For/Flags Against ratio than SUC if HYP defeats SXP in 2 rounds.
  • A 2-round loss against REG if TDT wins against GPS or GPS defeats TDT in 2 rounds.


[TDT] The Dream Team:
TDT has a guaranteed #4-and-above seed in the playoffs.

#2 seed requirements:
  • A 2-round win against GPS if SUC does not defeat REG in 2 rounds.
  • A 3-round win against GPS if SUC does not defeat REG.
  • A tie against GPS if REG defeats SUC in 2 rounds. If REG defeats SUC in 3 rounds, then:
    - SXP must defeat HYP in 2 rounds and;
    - TDT must have a superior Flags For/Flags Against ratio than SUC.

#3 seed requirements:
  • A 2-round win against GPS if SUC defeats REG in 2 rounds.
  • A 3-round win against GPS if SUC defeats REG.
  • A tie against GPS if REG does not defeat SUC in 2 rounds. If REG defeats SUC in 3 rounds, then SXP must not defeat HYP in 2 rounds.
  • A 3-round loss against GPS if REG defeats SUC in 2 rounds.


[GPS] Giant Pea Shooters:
GPS has a guaranteed #4-and-above seed in the playoffs.

#2 seed requirements:
  • A 2-round win against TDT if SUC does not win against REG.
  • A 3-round win against TDT if REG wins against SUC.

#3 seed requirements:
  • A 2-round win against TDT if SUC wins against REG.
  • A 3-round win against TDT if REG does not win against SUC.
  • A tie against TDT if REG defeats SUC in 2 rounds.


[REG] Regulators:
REG can go for as high as 5th seed, and as low as last place.

#5 seed requirements:
  • A 2-round win against SUC.
  • A 3-round win against SUC if SXP does not defeat HYP in 2 rounds.
  • A tie against SUC if HYP ties against SXP or defeats them in 3 rounds.

#6 seed requirements:
  • A 3-round win against SUC if SXP defeats HYP in 2 rounds.
  • A tie against SUC if SXP wins against HYP or HYP defeats SXP in 2 rounds.
  • A 3-round loss against SUC if either:
    - SXP ties against HYP or;
    - HFM does not defeat TKV in 2 rounds.
  • A 2-round loss against SUC if:
    - HYP defeats SXP in 2 rounds and HFM does not win against TKV or;
    - SXP wins against HYP and HFM does not defeat TKV in 2 rounds.


[SXP] Sexual Panthers:
SXP can go for as high as 5th seed, and as low as last place.

#5 seed requirements:
  • A 2-round win against HYP if REG does not defeat SUC in 2 rounds.
  • A 3-round win against HYP if REG does not win against SUC.
  • A tie against HYP if either:
    - SUC defeats REG in 2 rounds and HFM does not defeat TKV in 2 rounds;
    - SUC defeats REG in 3 rounds;
    - SXP has a superior Flags For/Flags Against Ratio than HYP if SUC defeats REG in 2 rounds and HFM defeats TKV in 3 rounds.

#6 seed requirements:
  • A 2-round win against HYP if REG defeats SUC in 2 rounds.
  • A 3-round win against HYP if REG wins against SUC.
  • A tie against HYP if either:
    - SUC does not win against REG;
    - SUC defeats REG in 2 rounds and HFM defeats TKV in 2 rounds or;
    - SXP has a superior Flags For/Flags Against Ratio than HYP if SUC defeats REG in 2 rounds and HFM defeats TKV in 3 rounds.
  • A 3-round loss against HYP if SUC defeats REG in 2 rounds and HFM does not win against TKV.


[HYP] Hurt You Plenty:
HYP can go for as high as 5th seed, and as low as last place.

#5 seed requirements:
  • A 2-round win against SXP if REG does not win against SUC.
  • A 3-round win against SXP if SUC wins against REG.
  • A tie against SXP if SUC defeats REG in 2 rounds and either:
    - HFM defeats TKV in 2 rounds or;
    - HYP has a superior Flags For/Flags Against Ratio than SXP if HFM defeats TKV in 3 rounds.

#6 seed requirements:
  • A 2-round win against HYP if REG wins against SUC.
  • A 3-round win against HYP if SUC does not win against REG.
  • A tie against SXP if SUC defeats REG in 2 rounds and either:
    - HFM does not win against TKV;
    - SXP has a superior Flags For/Flags Against Ratio than HFM if SUC defeats REG in 2 rounds and HFM defeats TKV in 3 rounds.


[HFM] High Friction Men:
HFM can go for as high as 6th seed and as low as last place.

#6 seed requirements:
  • A 2-round win against TKV if SXP does not tie against HYP and SUC wins against REG.
  • A 3-round win against TKV if:
    - SXP defeats HYP in 2 rounds or HYP wins against SXP and;
    - SUC defeats REG in 2 rounds.

Xenaero

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Re: WEEK 5 - MAP29 ZDECTF2-19 [MAR 6 - MAR 12] Discussion
« Reply #3 on: March 07, 2017, 02:37:57 AM »
High Friction Men [HFM]
KBlair, Wazzup, Godlike, Souler
2 pts (0-4-0)
vs
[TKV] Techno Vikings
Caution, GhOsTKiLLeR, Xenaero, Avc
16 pts (4-0-0) (#1)

when god is gone and the devil takes hold
who'll have mercy on your soul

KBlair

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Re: WEEK 5 - MAP29 ZDECTF2-19 [MAR 6 - MAR 12] Discussion
« Reply #4 on: March 08, 2017, 04:37:25 PM »
High Friction Men [HFM]
KBlair, Wazzup, Godlike, Souler
2 pts (0-4-0)
vs
[TKV] Techno Vikings
Caution, GhOsTKiLLeR, Xenaero, Avc
16 pts (4-0-0) (#1)

when god is gone and the devil takes hold
who'll have mercy on your soul

Xenaero

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Re: WEEK 5 - MAP29 ZDECTF2-19 [MAR 6 - MAR 12] Discussion
« Reply #5 on: March 11, 2017, 01:02:32 PM »
High Friction Men [HFM]
KBlair, Wazzup, Godlike, Souler
2 pts (0-4-0)
vs
[TKV] Techno Vikings
Caution, GhOsTKiLLeR, Xenaero, Avc
16 pts (4-0-0) (#1)

when god is gone and the devil takes hold
who'll have mercy on your soul



Ralphis

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Re: WEEK 5 - MAP29 ZDECTF2-19 [MAR 6 - MAR 12] Discussion
« Reply #6 on: March 11, 2017, 08:30:09 PM »
 :blink

Zakken

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Re: WEEK 5 - MAP29 ZDECTF2-19 [MAR 6 - MAR 12] Discussion
« Reply #7 on: March 11, 2017, 10:33:23 PM »

Ten

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Re: WEEK 5 - MAP29 ZDECTF2-19 [MAR 6 - MAR 12] Discussion
« Reply #8 on: March 12, 2017, 12:12:10 PM »
It's quite ironic that the two teams who have already solidified their playoff positions will be playing each other in the final week of the regular season, while the rest of the league tears each other apart for playoff positioning. We have the invincible TKV who has yet to lose a single round, much less an entire game, facing HFM who has only won 2 out of 10 rounds in a winless season so far. There's not much to be said here, TKV will almost assuredly sweep HFM in two quick rounds to complete a perfect regular season.

TKV 2-0

In terms of playoff positioning, all eyes will be on SXP vs HYP as the winner of their game clinches a playoff seed. If HYP loses at all, they're eliminated from playoffs. If SXP loses in 2, they're eliminated. However, if SXP loses in 3 they can still fumble their way into playoffs if SUC defeats REG 2-0, just like the Detroit Lions did after losing to the Packers in Week 16 at their own stadium for the divisional title yet still rag-dolling their way into 6th seed thanks to the Giants beating the Redskins that same week. That being said, though, I think SXP will be earning their way into the playoffs by winning here this week. Dragon is an extremely good O on this map and plays it often over in Zandronum priv, which will give them the edge over HYP's fragging game. HYP is a team of incredibly talented players, but I just don't see them possessing the chemistry and organization needed to win on a map that requires a great deal of tactical defense and support such as this one.

SXP 2-0

While both teams have clinched at least 4th seed, GPS and TDT are only one point away from each other meaning their game also has major playoff implications. GPS is red-hot right now following an initially-questionable trade with SXP in Week 3, the trade seemed to pay off after taking down SUC in a brilliant 3-round comeback that same week, then making short work of the team they traded with in Week 4 sweeping SXP in two rounds. However, TDT is still arguably the second-best team in the league, despite still recovering from a crushing 2-0 loss to the seemingly-untouchable TKV in Week 3. And on this classic map, I think DS will prove to be nearly impossible to get past for GPS' offense. Zakken is a very strong D as well, but TDT's has much more offensive power than GPS does, and that will be the determining factor in winning this game.

TDT 2-0-1

For the likely game of the week, we have a team who's fighting for a first-round playoff bye, and a team who's fighting to make playoffs at all. If SUC defeats REG 2-0 here, they clinch 2nd seed and earn a free week off next week. If REG wins or ties even just a single round here, they clinch playoffs. However, if they lose in 2 rounds, they need to pray that the SXP/HYP game either ends in 2, or with SXP winning in 3. This match should be the GOTW because both teams have very solid rosters for this map, but I feel that REG has the slight upper-hand here, despite being 7 points behind SUC. RosKing is an absolute monster on this map, Jwar is an extremely effective defender here, and GobliN has *plenty* of experience on this map thanks to his LF days (;]). SUC is no slouch either though, Ralph is right up at the top of the offensive charts with Avc, and Dranzer is also extremely good on this map. The biggest factor will come down to how well Hopes/Dosu ends up supporting on this map. It will be a very good fight, and I'm expecting one of the best games of the season so far, and in the end I think REG is going to earn a much-deserved victory to cap off their regular season.

REG 2-1

Damn, if TDT and GPS would've tied their first round (which they nearly did), I would've had a perfect prediction.

Oh well, ggs to all the teams this week. Congrats REG and SXP on securing your entry into the playoffs, congrats TDT for earning a quarter-final bye, and congrats TKV on your perfect regular season!